UNHA PERSPECTIVA COMBINADA PARA ACCEDER A CAMBIOS A CURTO PRAZO NA SITUACIÓN ECONÓMICA DE PORTUGAL E ESPAÑA
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Abstract
actividade económica. Usamos unha perspectiva baseada nas opinións de varios recoñecidos
economistas españois e portugueses sobre a importancia dun grupo de indicadores
individuais aceptados de forma xeral, que poidan avaliar a situación económica. O obxectivo
do artigo é o de determinar a posición económica relativa nun período de tempo a curto e
medio prazo e analizar a importancia da opinión dos economistas para describir a situación
económica. Recolléronse datos trismestrais do período de 1995 a 2014 (1º semestre) das
estadísticas da OECD.StatExtracts para Portugal e España. Os resultados apoian a idea de que
as opinións dos economistas son importantes para explicar as características dunha
economía. Malia que as súas opinións sobre o peso dunha variable determinada na
descrición do nivel de actividade económica pode variar, implicitamente a longo prazo todas
las opinións tenden a converxer nun mesmo patrón de evolución dunha situación económica.
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