Contido principal do artigo

Daniel Romero-Portillo
Universidad Pablo de Olavide
España
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2852-9323
Antonia María Ruiz Jiménez
Universidad Pablo de Olavide
España
Vol 19 No 2 (2020), Artigos, páxinas 9-44
DOI https://doi.org/10.15304/rips.19.2.6075
Recibido: 04-06-2019 Aceptado: 15-12-2020 Publicado: 28-12-2020
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Resumo

O cambio do sistema de partidos e a profundización destos na crise territorial no periodo posterior á Gran Recesión de 2008 fan interesante explorar tamén a polarización da cidadanía no eixo centro-periferia e a configuración do novo espazo electoral con respecto a este eixo. O propósito deste artigo é coñecer cómo se distribúen as estructuras identitarias e as preferencias sobre a organización territorial do Estado das bases electorais dos partidos españois baixo o novo contexto político-electoral. Para elo, agréganse os estudos post-electorais do CIS de 2008 a 2019, que se exploran de forma gráfica e mediante regresións loxísticas multinomiais. As nosas achegas confirman que o deterioro apuntado por Jiménez e Navarro (2015) para as eleccións de 2011 non foi coxuntural, senón que se trata dunha tendencia que se consolida dende 2015, estabilizándose ata 2019.  Especificamente, consolídase a erosión do apoio ao Estado das autonomías e aumenta de xeito xeral o apoio centralismo. Esta erosión non vai acompañada, sen embargo, dunha desvinculación xeralizada das identidades compartidas, aínda aumenten as identidades nacionais exclusivas. En canto ao novo sistema de partidos, as bases electorais dos partidos polarízanse en gran medida en canto ás súas preferencias sobre a organización territorial do Estado, pero non así coa identidade nacional.

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